Another Look at the Zero Integral Difference Between Lorenz and Concentration Curves in Supervised Learning

Denuit, Michel;Trufin, Julien
(2026) Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability — Vol. 28, n° 2, p. 42 (2026)

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  • Trufin, JulienUniversité Libre de Bruxelles
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Abstract
We revisit the area between the concentration and Lorenz curves (ABC) criterion for model assessment in supervised learning. Insurance pricing is considered throughout the paper to illustrate the concepts but the results apply to any other setting where the mean of a response must be estimated from data. Building on the characterization of these curves, we provide new equivalent formulations for the case where the ABC vanishes. First, we characterize a vanishing ABC as the absence of correlation between pricing error and the ranks induced by the candidate premiums, making the link with Gini and Co-Gini coefficients. In both the discrete and continuous cases, we then show that a vanishing ABC corresponds to global balance in transformed portfolios that overweight either lower or higher premium classes. These results complement existing work on auto-calibration and contribute to a better understanding of ABC as a diagnostic tool in insurance pricing and related applications.
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Denuit, M., & Trufin, J. (2026). Another Look at the Zero Integral Difference Between Lorenz and Concentration Curves in Supervised Learning. Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, 28(2), 42. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11009-026-10282-x (Original work published 2026)