The European Green Deal proposes a systemic approach to a whole of society and just transition to reach the overarching goal of climate neutrality by 2050, bringing into the fore a diversity of policy actors which must coordinate and compete against one another to influence policymaking and realise their preferences. Coordination between diverse policy actors that share preferences can lead to the emergence of coalitions. Research on coalitions in EU environmental policymaking identifies varying coalitions, which when compared, structurally differ. Yet, no systematic mapping or comparative characterization has been conducted to account for this variation. Consequently, this paper asks: what types of coalitions emerge in EU environmental policymaking processes, within the European Green Deal? EU environmental coalitions are mapped, identified, and characterised in three steps, relying on press reports, EU official documents, interviews, and websites. Focusing on the European Climate Law, the Batteries Regulation, Renewable Energy Directive, Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, and the Just Transition Fund, social network analysis is first conducted on coordination networks of each of the cases to identify clusters of policy actors, using the walktrap algorithm. Second, the policy actor’s preferences within each cluster are analysed to determine the preference similarity of each cluster, resulting in the identification of coalitions. Third, the identified coalitions are characterized along five structural dimensions, resulting in a coalition typology. Uncovering the types of coalitions that emerge in EU Environmental policymaking is important as literature show that different structures of coalitions have varying consequences on the outcome of a policy process. By taking stock of what different coalitions emerge, we can begin to infer whether and when policy progress or conflict may arise and the appetite and extent for policy change, in turn deepen our understanding of EU environmental policymaking.
Crellin, C. (2024). Rising from the Depths: Mapping the Emergence of Coalitions across the European Green Deal. 12th Biennial Conference of the ECPR Standing Group on the European Union, Lisbon, Portugal. https://hdl.handle.net/2078.5/269561