Fertility transition of sub-Saharan African capital cities: Where do they stand and what has contributed most to the transition?

(2022) PAA Annual Meeting — Location: Atlanta, United States (6.April.2022)

Files

No attached file found for this publication.

Details

Authors
Abstract
Evidence shows that capital cities lead fertility transitions. However, data confirm that fertility stalls are a common feature among sub-Saharan African capitals, which could affect the transition at the national level. We use 137 DHS from 33 sub-Saharan African countries to determine at what phase of the fertility transition their capitals are in. We look at differences between phases and identify what contributed most to fertility decline. We find that most capitals are at an intermediate phase of the transition. In early stages, sex life and cohabitation begin at earlier ages than later in the transition. Postpartum infecundability is similar in all phases. Contraceptive use is the main determinant of fertility decline. In the later stage of the transition, contraceptive prevalence is more than double that of the earliest phase. Non-increasing contraceptive prevalence in recent years suggests that fertility rates will not decline rapidly in the near future.
Affiliations

Citations

Sanchez Paez, D., & Schoumaker, B. (2022). Fertility transition of sub-Saharan African capital cities: Where do they stand and what has contributed most to the transition? PAA Annual Meeting, Atlanta, United States. https://hdl.handle.net/2078.5/269151