Electoral research has shown that populist attitudes tend to be associated with populist party preferences. Yet, there is still little knowledge of the interplay between populist and anti-populist attitudes and their macro-electoral effects. In this paper, we rely on a simulation-based approach to estimate what would happen at the level of aggregate party support if populism-related considerations in general (i.e., both populist and antipopulist) had a more or less relevant role in voters’ decisions than they had under real-world conditions. Analyses, which focus on four countries with distinct profiles when it comes to types and presence of populist actors (i.e., Austria, Greece, Italy and Japan), show that the effect of populism-related considerations on aggregate party support is overall limited.
Camatarri, S., Gallina, M., & Hino, A. (2023). Two Sides of the Same Coin: The Electoral Effects of Populist and Non-Populist Attitudes. Annual Meeting of the Mid-West Political Science Conference (MPSA), Chicago, USA. https://hdl.handle.net/2078.5/237951