We propose to explore the sustainability of climate policies based on a novel commitment metric. This metric allows to quantify how future generations’ scope of action is affected by short-term climate policy. In an example application, we show that following a moderate emission scenario like SSP2-4.5 will commit future generations to heavily rely on carbon dioxide removal or/and solar radiation modification to avoid unmanageable sea level rise.
Martínez Montero, M., Brede, N., Couplet, V., Crucifix, M., Botta, N., & Crucifix, M. (2024). Lost options commitment: how short-term policies affect long-term scope of action. Oxford Open Climate Change, 4(1), kgae004. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfclm/kgae004 (Original work published 2024)