Electoral Cycles and Turnout in Multilevel Electoral Systems

Schakel, Arjan;Dandoy, Régis
(2014) West European Politics — Vol. 37, n° 3, p. 605-623 (2014)

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Authors
  • Schakel, ArjanUniversity of Maastricht
    Author
  • Dandoy, Régisorcid-logoUCLouvain
    Author
Abstract
This article differentiates between three ways in which electoral cycles may impact on participation in elections. First, it identifies a simultaneity effect – turnout increases to the extent that elections are held on the same date. A second effect is voter fatigue – turnout declines when another election has just been held before. Poll voting is a third effect. It suggests that turnout increases when another election is to be held shortly after. On the basis of a novel dataset that includes 2,915 regional elections held in 317 regions and 18 countries from 1945 to 2009, evidence is found for all three effects. The results point towards a basic dilemma in multilevel electoral systems: increase turnout by holding elections on the same date but accept high vote congruence across elections or decouple election cycles, which decreases vote congruence but lowers participation rates.
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Citations

Schakel, A., & Dandoy, R. (2014). Electoral Cycles and Turnout in Multilevel Electoral Systems. West European Politics, 37(3), 605-623. https://hdl.handle.net/2078.5/91798 (Original work published 2014)