Analysis of extreme aircraft wake vortex circulations

Morio, Jérôme;De Visscher, Ivan;Duponcheel, Matthieu;Winckelmans, Grégoire;Balesdent, Mathieu;et.al.
(2016) Estimation of Rare Event Probabilities in Complex Aerospace and Other Systems — ISBN: [978-0-08-100091-5], published

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Because of its take-off, an aircraft generates a wake essentially made of a pair of counter-rotating vortices notably characterized by their total circulation. In this test case, we analyze the evolution of wake vortex total circulation with the extreme value theory. It consists in estimating the probability that a wake vortex circulation exceeds a given threshold for a fixed set of CMC samples
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Morio, J., De Visscher, I., Duponcheel, M., Winckelmans, G., Jacquemart, D., & Balesdent, M. (2016). Analysis of extreme aircraft wake vortex circulations. In Jerome Morio and Mathieu Balesdent (ed.), Estimation of Rare Event Probabilities in Complex Aerospace and Other Systems. Woodhead Publishing Limited. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-08-100091-5.09981-0