Dairy farms without quotas in Belgium: Estimation and simulation with a flexible cost function

Henry De Frahan, Bruno;Baudry, Alexandre;De Blander, Rembert;Polomé, Philippe;Howitt, Richard
(2011) European Review of Agricultural Economics — Vol. 38, n° 4, p. 469-495 (2011)

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Authors
  • Henry De Frahan, BrunoUCLouvain
    Author
  • Baudry, AlexandreUCLouvain
    Author
  • De Blander, RembertUCLouvain
    Author
  • Polomé, PhilippeUniversité Lumière Lyon 2
    Author
  • Howitt, RichardUCLouvain
    Author
Abstract
This paper evaluates the farm-level supply and income effects from removing milk quotas and reducing producer prices with increasing direct compensatory payments. Using a panel of Belgian dairy farms, we first estimate a multi-output multi-input flexible cost function that generates a U-shaped marginal cost curve for each farm of the sample. We then embed each farm cost function in a profit-maximisation programming model that is built and calibrated for each farm in the sample. Accounting for farm heterogeneity, the simulations show how dairy farms without quotas may respond differently to changes in prices and structural changes that may take place within the dairy sector. A quota removal with a 20 per cent reduction in milk prices keeps aggregate milk supply and farm income at about the same level of the 2006 reference year. © 2011 Oxford University Press and Foundation for the European Review of Agricultural Economics. All rights reserved.
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Henry De Frahan, B., Baudry, A., De Blander, R., Polomé, P., & Howitt, R. (2011). Dairy farms without quotas in Belgium: Estimation and simulation with a flexible cost function. European Review of Agricultural Economics, 38(4), 469-495. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbr013 (Original work published 2011)