Are Short-lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs?

Cockx, Bart;Picchio, Matteo
(2012) Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics — Vol. 74, n° 5, p. 646-675 (2012)

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Authors
  • Cockx, BartUCLouvain
    Author
  • Picchio, MatteoTilburg University
    Author
Abstract
This article assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring 1 year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within 2 years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs.
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Citations

Cockx, B., & Picchio, M. (2012). Are Short-lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs? Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 74(5), 646-675. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.2011.00668.x (Original work published 2012)