Population Density, Fertility and Demographic Convergence in Developing Countries
(2016) , 66 pages
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- Abstract
- Whether the population tends towards a long-run stationary value depends on forces of demographic convergence. One such force is the result of fertility rates being negatively affected by population density. We test the existence of such an effect in 44 developing countries, matching georeferenced data from the Demographic and Health Surveys for half a million women with population density grids. When we correct for selection and endogeneity bias and control for the usual determinants of fertility such as education and income, a rise in density from 10 to 1000 inhabitants per square kilometer corresponds with a decrease in fertility of about 0.6 of a child. Duration analysis reveals that both age at marriage and age at first birth increase with density.
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Citations
De la Croix, D., & Gobbi, P. E. (2016). Population Density, Fertility and Demographic Convergence in Developing Countries (IRES Discussion Papers 2016-3). https://hdl.handle.net/2078.5/186294