Extreme Weather and Civil War: Does Drought Fuel Conflict in Somalia through Livestock Price Shocks?

Maystadt, Jean-François;Ecker, Olivier
(2014) American Journal of Agricultural Economics — Vol. 96, n° 4, p. 1157-1182 (2014)

Files

ExtremeweatherandCivilWar.pdf
  • Restricted Access
  • Adobe PDF
  • 623.88 KB
Request a copy

Details

Authors
Abstract
A growing body of evidence shows a causal relationship between extreme weather events and civil conflict incidence at the global level. We find that this causality is also valid for droughts and local violent conflicts in a within-country setting over a short time frame in the case of Somalia. We estimate that a one standard deviation increase in drought intensity and length raises the likelihood of conflict by 62%. We also find that drought affects conflict through livestock price changes, establishing livestock markets as the primary channel of transmission in Somalia.
Affiliations

Citations

  • APA
  • Chicago
  • FWB

Maystadt, J.-F., & Ecker, O. (2014). Extreme Weather and Civil War: Does Drought Fuel Conflict in Somalia through Livestock Price Shocks? American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 96(4), 1157-1182. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aau010 (Original work published 2014)