Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs ?

Cockx, Bart;Picchio, Matteo
(2009) , 38 pages

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  • Cockx, BartUCLouvain
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  • Picchio, MatteoUCLouvain
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Abstract
This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multispell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and occurrence dependence. Second, we simulate them to find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject shortlived jobs to search longer for more stable positions.
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Cockx, B., & Picchio, M. (2009). Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs ? (ECON Discussion Papers 2009/04). https://hdl.handle.net/2078.5/249767