Child mortality estimation : revisiting summary birth history methods with microsimulation
(2016)
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- Estimating child mortality worldwide is a challenging issue. Due to the lack of comprehensive vital registration system in most of countries, analysts rely principally on birth histories collected retrospectively among women of reproductive age in censuses and surveys. More specifically, summary birth histories that consist in the simplest pieces of data – the number of children ever born and children surviving – constitute a low-cost alternative to vital registration systems. This dissertation provides new knowledge on indirect methods for estimating the under-five mortality rate from summary birth histories. Two types of indirect methods are currently available to users: model-based methods derived from the pioneering work of Brass and empirically based methods developed more recently at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). Using microsimulation, variants of summary birth history methods were studied under different demographic conditions reflecting international experiences. The dissertation tops out with new recommendations and advocates for a methodological shift toward empirically based methods.
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Verhulst, A. (2016). Child mortality estimation : revisiting summary birth history methods with microsimulation. https://hdl.handle.net/2078.5/180530